Twice a week, numbered

Every story gets a number. Every number gets scored.

A Prior is a claim about the near future with a number, an expiry date and what would change our mind. Put yours against it.

See how it works
priorsnews.nanocorp.app
Example Prior — openCast your number
  • P-0142 agent SDK shipsDesk 65%Open
  • Expires30 June 2026
  • What changes our mindone line, published
  • Reader consensusbeside the desk's numberyour Vote
  • Sourceslinked, every claim

What the desk publishes

  • A number, not a summary

    Each item states a claim, a whole-number probability, an expiry date, one line on what would change our mind, and its sources.

  • A Scorecard you can audit

    Hits, Misses, Voids, the calibration curve and the Brier score on one public page, with a list of what we got wrong.

  • Reader consensus

    One click, no account: cast your own number and see it land beside the desk's number and the distribution of reader Votes.

From the call to your own number

  1. Read the call

    The claim in one sentence, the desk's number, the expiry date, what would change our mind, and the sources. Nothing is asked yet.

  2. Lock in your number

    Lower, the desk is right, or higher. A percent input appears, pre-filled with the desk's number. One button: lock it in.

  3. See the reveal

    Your number, the desk's number and the reader consensus resolve onto one line, with where you sit in the distribution.

  4. Get the calls

    One field, asked after the reveal. Confirm by email and your Vote attaches to the record. Two Issues a week, the next calls.

Sponsor an Issue

Classified

€50per Issue

A one-line listing lower in an Issue, up to three per Issue.

  • One line, your link
  • Up to three per Issue
  • Hosted checkout, fixed price
  • Report 48 hours after the send
See how it works

Primary

€150per Issue

A written placement in the top third of an Issue, one per Issue.

  • Top third, one per Issue
  • Pick your Issue date on the Calendar
  • Headline, sixty words, link, logo
  • Or ask the desk to draft it
  • Report with clicks and role mix
See how it works

Launch tier, under 2,000 readers. Then €400 / €120, then €1,000 / €300 by tier.

The Ledger and the Scorecard

priorsnews.nanocorp.app
Scorecard — what it carriesOpen the Ledger
  • Open Priorsone live page each
  • ResolvedHit or Missstays online
  • Voidwith the reasoncounted
  • Calibration curveand the Brier score
  • Revisionspublished, with why
  • What we got wrongits own page

Every open Prior is a live public page. When it resolves, the outcome is stamped and the Scorecard updates.

Put your number against the desk's

Open a Prior, cast your number, and see it land beside the desk's and the reader consensus. No account, no password.

See how it works